The 95th Academy Awards Best Picture Oscars Prediction

Hi there!

It’s that time of the year when I get around to watching all the nominees for Best Picture at the Oscars and predicting the winner (or my pick) for this year. Honouring the 2022 movie releases, the 95th Acadamy Awards will be broadcasted on Sunday, March 12th, 2023.

Without further ado, you’ll find the nominees in alphabetical order, as well as the director(s) behind the movie, followed by a summary (courtesy of IMDb), my personal rating (5-star system), and my thoughts on the movie.

All Quiet on the Western Front (2022) directed by Edward Berger.

IMDb Summary: A young German soldier’s terrifying experiences and distress on the western front during World War I.

Rating: 4 out of 5.

My thoughts: A World War I German tale of warfare disenchantment brutally yet beautifully depicting the futility of patriotism and heroism amidst bloodshed while also authentically portraying the cruelty of such blind hostility and its deep-rooted impact on humanity.

Avatar: The Way of Water (2022) directed by James Cameron.

IMDb Summary: Jake Sully lives with his newfound family formed on the extrasolar moon Pandora. Once a familiar threat returns to finish what was previously started, Jake must work with Neytiri and the army of the Na’vi race to protect their home.

Rating: 3 out of 5.

My thoughts: A breathtaking visual and technical spectacle drowned by its frustratingly messy and plot-hole-infested narrative introducing a young core cast in a superficially-preached pro-environment and pro-tradition adventure where family and solidarity take precedence over vengeance and chaos.

The Banshees of Inisherin (2022) directed by Martin McDonagh.

IMDb Summary: Two lifelong friends find themselves at an impasse when one abruptly ends their relationship, with alarming consequences for both of them.

Rating: 4 out of 5.

My thoughts: A thought-provoking and comedic tragedy exploring the desire for desire against the contentment of mundanity through two characters’ friendship turned into enmity.

Elvis (2022) directed by Baz Luhrmann.

IMDb Summary: The life of American music icon Elvis Presley, from his childhood to becoming a rock and movie star in the 1950s while maintaining a complex relationship with his manager, Colonel Tom Parker.

Rating: 3 out of 5.

My thoughts: A frenetically edited, superficially explored, and wildly jubilant dramatized biopic of the king of rock and roll while hopelessly distracted and unnecessarily focused on the manipulative and viscous manager, failing to properly grasp the emotion and intimacy around the life of the title character.

Everything Everywhere All At Once (2022) directed by Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert.

IMDb Summary: A middle-aged Chinese immigrant is swept up into an insane adventure in which she alone can save existence by exploring other universes and connecting with the lives she could have led.

Rating: 5 out of 5.

My thoughts: A powerful, vivid, and psychedelic existential crisis explored through chaotic absurdity, provocative and delirious comedy, staggering and impactful action sequences, thought-provoking banter and discussions, and a perfect versatile cast led by the talented Michelle Yeoh.

This cinematic masterpiece shines a light on life decisions and outcomes, social and intergenerational cultural gaps, acceptance, and love through an unprecedented assault on the senses, leaving viewers bewildered by the beauty hidden in nothing, everything, everywhere, and all at once.

The Fabelmans (2022) directed by Steven Spielberg.

IMDb Summary: Growing up in post-World War II era Arizona, young Sammy Fabelman aspires to become a filmmaker as he reaches adolescence, but soon discovers a shattering family secret and explores how the power of films can help him see the truth.

Rating: 4 out of 5.

My thoughts: An engrossing coming-of-age family drama, loosely based on the director’s own life, exploring the power and truth behind cinema, through a director’s masterful control over fiction and the uncontrollable chaos of reality.

Tár (2022) directed by Todd Field.

IMDb Summary: Set in the international world of Western classical music, the film centers on Lydia Tár, widely considered one of the greatest living composer-conductors and the very first female director of a major German orchestra.

Rating: 4.5 out of 5.

My thoughts: A thought-provoking character study marked by Cate Blanchett’s magnificent performance as a manipulative and sociopathic composer/conductor who inevitably orchestrates her own social downfall despite artistic success in her domain of musical expertise.

Top Gun: Maverick (2022) directed by Joseph Kosinski.

IMDb Summary: After thirty years, Maverick is still pushing the envelope as a top naval aviator, but must confront ghosts of his past when he leads TOP GUN’s elite graduates on a mission that demands the ultimate sacrifice from those chosen to fly it.

Rating: 4 out of 5.

My thoughts: A riveting, adrenaline-pumping, and suspenseful sequel delving into the realm of regrets, fears, and irreproachable sacrifice when the stakes are at their highest.

Triangle of Sadness (2022) directed by Ruben Östlund.

IMDb Summary: A fashion model celebrity couple join an eventful cruise for the super-rich.

Rating: 2.5 out of 5.

My thoughts: An oddly-cut and overly-long three-part satirical journey into a messy and unrefined social commentary on the pursuit of superficial desires, the rich’s relation with power and money, and society’s perfunctory division of class and gender roles.

Women Talking (2022) directed by Sarah Polley.

IMDb Summary: Do nothing. Stay and fight. Or leave. In 2010, the women of an isolated religious community grapple with reconciling a brutal reality with their faith.

Rating: 4 out of 5.

My thoughts: A consciously-obfuscating tale of fiction vehiculating a message of strength, unity, and hope with thought-provoking social commentary on identity, equality, religion, and gender roles.


My thoughts: Honestly, there are no surprises here. Ever since we saw this in theaters when it was first released earlier in 2022, I was preaching about it for days on end. Everything about it is simply on point, flawless, from the cast’s performance, starting with Michelle Yeoh (if you’re a fan of her classic action movies, you’ll love this), to the absurd, abstract, and psychedelic editing. This is the kind of movie that the industry needs to simply remind us all that it’s still possible to create original and mind-boggling cinema today.

Now let’s see if this movie will sweep the Oscars, especially for Best Picture. 🙂

Have you seen any of these? Will you?

Share your thoughts on anything and everything with me!




37 thoughts on “The 95th Academy Awards Best Picture Oscars Prediction

  1. I have not seen any of these and the only one I’m even remotely interested in is your final pick. And if it wins it won’t be going free on prime any time soon, so I I doubt I’ll be seeing it soon….

    Liked by 1 person

    1. Actually, Everything Everywhere All at Once is already available on Prime, at least here in Canada, which should be the case for you guys too. It ended up winning Best Picture too so the promo for the movie on Prime should be cranked up in the next few days. Hopefully, you enjoy it if you ever do try it out.

      Liked by 1 person

      1. Oh, we’re speaking the same short hand and I didn’t even realize it! Hhaahahahaaaa.
        I’m off to check.
        * elevator music *
        Nope, 20 flipping bucks to buy it on prime. Unless you have some subscription to some other movie channel. Like I’d EVER do that…

        Liked by 1 person

      2. Hahahah yeh, I know you enough to never send you off to pay for a movie you have no guarantee that you’ll adore 😂 crazy how it’s not free for you guys. Always thought the States had more free stuff than we did when it comes to any subscription based service… It is after all movies produced by you guys 😂

        Liked by 1 person

      3. How prime decides what is free where is a mystery as far as I’m concerned. Film Authority is always saying movies are free on prime, then they’re not here in the US when I go to look.

        Liked by 1 person

    1. I’m still quite shocked by the story behind Elvis’ life. Who would’ve thought that he was manipulated by a guy like the Colonel… I was clueless before the movie! Hahahah EEAAO really is special in its own way, huh? It ended up winning Best Picture and I think it totally deserved it! The movie ended up taking home 7 out of the 11 nominations too. 😀

      Liked by 1 person

  2. I’ve seen almost all of them and I liked most of them. I think Elvis and Avatar have no business being nominated for best picture. I loved Everything Everywhere, Triangle of Sadness and Banshees. I thought the Fabelmans was boring. The one I still want to see is Tar.

    Liked by 1 person

  3. I don’t watch many movies these days and I’ve only seen one of these. But according to you it’s the right one! Loved Everything Everywhere All At Once – so much fun and creativity! Of course, my scientific brain couldn’t help analysing how consistent the concept was with the many worlds theory of quantum physics 🙄😆. Sometimes, I wished my brain would just shut up!

    Liked by 1 person

  4. I have watched Elvis, The Banshees of Innersheran and Top Gun. I didn’t get, Banshees. I do want to watch The Fabelmans and Everything Everywhere. I wonder if you are right??

    Liked by 1 person

  5. You predicted well 🙂 I haven’t seen the winner yet, but when it got the Oscar, wife finally agreed to watch it with me, so some time soon… overall, a good year for Oscars, I loved All Quiet, Maverick, Banshees, Maverick, Whale, Elvis, and definitely wanna see Tar & Women Talking.
    Navalny was definitely good, but I’m conflicted, I’d much rather see A House Made of Splinters rewarded, Navalny is brave but has a history of missteps that makes me wary.

    Liked by 1 person

    1. Oh man, I’m glad she said yes because something tells me you’ll both have fun getting through it together now. I also think that you’d personally really enjoy what Tar and Women Talking have to offer. The social commentary in both is brilliant. I plan on checking out Navalny in the near future but will also like to see A House Made of Splinters. I do see how you’re torn by it, considering your own activism in that sphere, but I’d still like to understand what’s up through those movies hahah

      Liked by 1 person

  6. It’s been so long I don’t even remember the last time I watched an awards show. I’m unfamiliar with most of these movies. Avatar, of course, I’ve heard of, though I didn’t find the first one anything more than eye candy so I don’t think I’ll watch the second. And I remember you highly recommending Everything Everywhere All at Once and it’s been on my queue since then, with me patiently waiting for it to become available. Soon, I hope. Soon. 🙂

    Liked by 1 person

  7. Hi there! Thanks for sharing your thoughts and ratings on the Best Picture nominees. I found your assessment of Everything Everywhere All At Once particularly intriguing, with its exploration of life decisions and social and intergenerational gaps. My question for you is: Which other films from 2022 do you think were snubbed for Best Picture nominations? Looking forward to hearing your thoughts.


    Liked by 1 person

    1. Hi Roy, thank you for stopping by my article! It’s very much appreciated. As a huge fan of anything Batman, and considering how movies like Elvis made the cut for Best Picture, I do think, just like The Dark Knight, The Batman was snubbed of a nomination. Decision to Leave and The Woman King could’ve also merited a nomination over some of the other nominees. How about you?


  8. I haven’t heard of TAR. While your description is intriguing, the trailer only confused me (not in a good way). Triangle of Sadness – I had a feeling it wasn’t going to be a hit. Have you seen The Menu? I quite enjoyed that.

    Liked by 1 person

  9. Well, your predictions were right, Lashaan! I actually watched Everything Everywhere All at Once yesterday and loved it! I can definitely understand why it won the Oscar for best picture (and many others)! Out of all the other nominees, I also watched The Fabelmans and while I liked it, I wasn’t very impressed to be honest, so the winner makes sense to me!

    Liked by 1 person

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